{"id":12521,"date":"2018-03-09T08:58:24","date_gmt":"2018-03-09T08:58:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/sin-categoria\/modelos-predictivos-de-la-concentracion-polinica-en-la-atmosfera-de-cartagena-datos-desde-1993-a-1999\/"},"modified":"2018-03-09T08:58:24","modified_gmt":"2018-03-09T08:58:24","slug":"modelos-predictivos-de-la-concentracion-polinica-en-la-atmosfera-de-cartagena-datos-desde-1993-a-1999","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/ciencias-de-la-tierra-y-del-espacio\/modelos-predictivos-de-la-concentracion-polinica-en-la-atmosfera-de-cartagena-datos-desde-1993-a-1999\/","title":{"rendered":"Modelos predictivos de la concentracion polinica en la atmosfera de cartagena. datos desde 1993 a 1999."},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Tesis doctoral de <strong> Jos\u00e9 Manuel Moreno Angosto <\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Se ha construido una base da datos meteorol\u00f3gica y aeropalinol\u00f3gica para la ciudad de cartagena, con datos desde el a\u00f1o 1993 y 1999, ambos inclusive. Se ha realizado una detallada descripci\u00f3n de las caracter\u00edsticas meteorol\u00f3gicas de la zona para este periodo, para pasar a continuaci\u00f3n a estudiar la influencia de los distintos par\u00e1metros meteorol\u00f3gicos en los registros pol\u00ednicos diarios, mediante correlaciones bivariadas y an\u00e1lisis de la varianza, haciendo mayor hincapi\u00e9 en los par\u00e1metros presi\u00f3n atmosferica, velocidad del viento, direcci\u00f3n del viento y precipitaciones. Como paso previo a la construcci\u00f3n de los modelos predictivos, y dada la importancia del vector viento en el transporte y dispersi\u00f3n de los granos de polen en la atmosfera, se han definido los flujos de viento caracteristicos de la zona y su relaci\u00f3n con los datos aerobiol\u00f3gicos, mediante an\u00e1lisis de cluster en dos pasos, primero un metodo jerarquico, seguido de un metodo no jer\u00e1rquico. Finalmente se ha procedido a la elaboracion de modelos predictivos estadisticos: modelos de regresion lineal multiple, modelos de regresi\u00f3n logistica y modelos arima, para las concentraciones pol\u00ednicas totales y para las concentraciones de la segunda floraci\u00f3n del tipo polinico chenopodiaceae-amaranthaceae, as\u00ed como tambien se han validado los distintos modelos obtenidos.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3>Datos acad\u00e9micos de la tesis doctoral \u00ab<strong>Modelos predictivos de la concentracion polinica en la atmosfera de cartagena. datos desde 1993 a 1999.<\/strong>\u00ab<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>T\u00edtulo de la tesis:<\/strong>\u00a0 Modelos predictivos de la concentracion polinica en la atmosfera de cartagena. datos desde 1993 a 1999. <\/li>\n<li><strong>Autor:<\/strong>\u00a0 Jos\u00e9 Manuel Moreno Angosto <\/li>\n<li><strong>Universidad:<\/strong>\u00a0 Polit\u00e9cnica de cartagena<\/li>\n<li><strong>Fecha de lectura de la tesis:<\/strong>\u00a0 23\/07\/2001<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3>Direcci\u00f3n y tribunal<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Director de la tesis<\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li>Stella Moreno Grau<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li><strong>Tribunal<\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li>Presidente del tribunal: joaqu\u00edn Moreno clavel <\/li>\n<li>noemi Zoroa alonso (vocal)<\/li>\n<li>consuelo D\u00edaz de la guardia guerrero (vocal)<\/li>\n<li>Antonio Garcia sanchez (vocal)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Tesis doctoral de Jos\u00e9 Manuel Moreno Angosto Se ha construido una base da datos meteorol\u00f3gica y aeropalinol\u00f3gica para la ciudad [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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