{"id":18728,"date":"2018-03-09T09:07:23","date_gmt":"2018-03-09T09:07:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/sin-categoria\/modelos-estada%c2%adsticos-para-el-estudio-de-la-movilidad-electoral\/"},"modified":"2018-03-09T09:07:23","modified_gmt":"2018-03-09T09:07:23","slug":"modelos-estada%c2%adsticos-para-el-estudio-de-la-movilidad-electoral","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/matematicas\/modelos-estada%c2%adsticos-para-el-estudio-de-la-movilidad-electoral\/","title":{"rendered":"Modelos estad\u00edsticos para el estudio de la movilidad electoral"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Tesis doctoral de <strong> Elena Vazquez Barrachina <\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>En esta tesis se formulan y proponen diversos modelos para la estimaci\u00f3n de la transici\u00f3n del voto entre un par de elecciones, no necesariamente consecutivas, como alternativa o mejora a los enfoques cl\u00e1sicos de la obtenci\u00f3n de la movilidad electoral. Para ello se utilizan m\u00e9todos de resoluci\u00f3n estrictamente cuantitativos sin apriorismos sociopol\u00edticos, o de cualquir otro tipo, de car\u00e1cter subjutivo o extra\u00eddos de encuestas demosc\u00f3picas.  en primer lugar se desarrollan un conjunto de procedimientos para estimar la transici\u00f3n del voto a partir de los tres modelos matem\u00e1ticos b\u00e1sicos formulados basados en t\u00e9cnicas de programaci\u00f3n matem\u00e1tica. Concretamente se formulan, por una parte, 4 modelos de programaci\u00f3n lineal y 2 modelos de programaci\u00f3n cuadr\u00e1tica a los que se les denomina modelos algort\u00edmos por la naturaleza iterativa de los m\u00e9todos de resoluci\u00f3n de este tipo de modelos. Por otra parte, se formaliza un nuevo procedimiento para la estimaci\u00f3n de la transici\u00f3n del voto, cuyo fundamento es la asunci\u00f3n de un determinado modelo probabil\u00edstico como generador de los resultados electorales observados, basado en el m\u00e9todo de m\u00e1xima verosimilitud.  adicionalmente se efect\u00faa un an\u00e1lisis comparativo de los modelos propuestos en el contexto del dise\u00f1o de experimentos, a partir de resultados electorales simulados.  finalmente, la metodolog\u00eda desarrollada en esta tesis se aplica a un caso real: el estudio de la transici\u00f3n del voto en la provincia de Valencia, a partir de los resultados electorales obtenidos en las elecciones legislativas espa\u00f1olas celebradas en 1993 y en 1996 y los resultados obtenidos se examinan.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3>Datos acad\u00e9micos de la tesis doctoral \u00ab<strong>Modelos estad\u00edsticos para el estudio de la movilidad electoral<\/strong>\u00ab<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>T\u00edtulo de la tesis:<\/strong>\u00a0 Modelos estad\u00edsticos para el estudio de la movilidad electoral <\/li>\n<li><strong>Autor:<\/strong>\u00a0 Elena Vazquez Barrachina <\/li>\n<li><strong>Universidad:<\/strong>\u00a0 Polit\u00e9cnica de Valencia<\/li>\n<li><strong>Fecha de lectura de la tesis:<\/strong>\u00a0 25\/07\/2002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3>Direcci\u00f3n y tribunal<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Director de la tesis<\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li>Rafael Romero Villafranca<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li><strong>Tribunal<\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li>Presidente del tribunal:  Miguel fern\u00e1ndez enrique de <\/li>\n<li>pablo O\u00f1ate  rubalcaba (vocal)<\/li>\n<li>roberto Escuder valles (vocal)<\/li>\n<li>pilar Tormos Juan (vocal)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Tesis doctoral de Elena Vazquez Barrachina En esta tesis se formulan y proponen diversos modelos para la estimaci\u00f3n de la [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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