{"id":21862,"date":"2018-03-09T09:11:48","date_gmt":"2018-03-09T09:11:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/sin-categoria\/elaboracion-de-un-modelo-estada%c2%adstico-de-prediccion-en-tiempo-real-a-corto-plazo-de-niveles-de-o3-y-no2-en-la-ciudad-de-bilbao\/"},"modified":"2018-03-09T09:11:48","modified_gmt":"2018-03-09T09:11:48","slug":"elaboracion-de-un-modelo-estada%c2%adstico-de-prediccion-en-tiempo-real-a-corto-plazo-de-niveles-de-o3-y-no2-en-la-ciudad-de-bilbao","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/pais-vasco-euskal-herriko-unibertsitatea\/elaboracion-de-un-modelo-estada%c2%adstico-de-prediccion-en-tiempo-real-a-corto-plazo-de-niveles-de-o3-y-no2-en-la-ciudad-de-bilbao\/","title":{"rendered":"Elaboraci\u00f3n de un modelo estad\u00edstico de predicci\u00f3n en tiempo real a corto plazo de niveles de o3 y no2 en la ciudad de bilbao"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Tesis doctoral de <strong> Elena Agirre Basurko <\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>En la citada tesis se ha elaborado un modelo estad\u00edstico de predicci\u00f3n, en tiempo real, de niveles de o3 y no2 a ocho horas vista en la ciudad de bilbao. Las t\u00e9cnicas desarrolladas para el dise\u00f1o y construcci\u00f3n del modelo han sido las dos siguientes: el m\u00e9todo de regresi\u00f3n lineal m\u00faltiple y el perceptr\u00f3n multicapa. Bas\u00e1ndose en dichas t\u00e9cnias se han construido tres modelos de predicci\u00f3n, cuyos resultados han sido comparados con las observaciones y persistencia utiliz\u00e1ndose para ello los estad\u00edsticos del kit de evaluaci\u00f3n del modelo.  el modelo mlp2 basado en la aplicaci\u00f3n del perceptr\u00f3n multicapa es el modelo que mejor resultados ha obtenido, salvo en las predicciones a dos y tres horas vista, en las cuales el modelo que mejor se ajusta es el modelo lr, basado en el uso del m\u00e9todo de regresi\u00f3n lineal m\u00faltiple. As\u00ed, se ha deducido un modelo mixto denominado modelo global, que combina ambos modelos en funci\u00f3n de la predicci\u00f3n que se ha de calcular.  asimismo, se ha estudiado la importancia de las variables de entrada del modelo, y se ha demostrado la bondad de las predicciones en funci\u00f3n de los valores de las variables de contaminaci\u00f3n, meteorolog\u00eda y tr\u00e1fico en el instante en el que se realiza la predicci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3>Datos acad\u00e9micos de la tesis doctoral \u00ab<strong>Elaboraci\u00f3n de un modelo estad\u00edstico de predicci\u00f3n en tiempo real a corto plazo de niveles de o3 y no2 en la ciudad de bilbao<\/strong>\u00ab<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>T\u00edtulo de la tesis:<\/strong>\u00a0 Elaboraci\u00f3n de un modelo estad\u00edstico de predicci\u00f3n en tiempo real a corto plazo de niveles de o3 y no2 en la ciudad de bilbao <\/li>\n<li><strong>Autor:<\/strong>\u00a0 Elena Agirre Basurko <\/li>\n<li><strong>Universidad:<\/strong>\u00a0 Pa\u00eds vasco\/euskal herriko unibertsitatea<\/li>\n<li><strong>Fecha de lectura de la tesis:<\/strong>\u00a0 28\/02\/2003<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3>Direcci\u00f3n y tribunal<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Director de la tesis<\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li>Gabriel Ibarra Berastegui<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li><strong>Tribunal<\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li>Presidente del tribunal: enrique Zuazua iriondo <\/li>\n<li> Albizu etxeberria m. victoria (vocal)<\/li>\n<li> Eguzkitza arrizabalaga Jos\u00e9 Mar\u00eda (vocal)<\/li>\n<li>i\u00f1aki Goirizelaia ordorika (vocal)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Tesis doctoral de Elena Agirre Basurko En la citada tesis se ha elaborado un modelo estad\u00edstico de predicci\u00f3n, en tiempo [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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