{"id":25406,"date":"2018-03-09T09:16:47","date_gmt":"2018-03-09T09:16:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/sin-categoria\/el-analisis-de-series-temporales-en-la-investigacion-explicativa-en-sociologa%c2%ada\/"},"modified":"2018-03-09T09:16:47","modified_gmt":"2018-03-09T09:16:47","slug":"el-analisis-de-series-temporales-en-la-investigacion-explicativa-en-sociologa%c2%ada","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/sin-categoria\/el-analisis-de-series-temporales-en-la-investigacion-explicativa-en-sociologa%c2%ada\/","title":{"rendered":"El an\u00e1lisis de series temporales en la investigaci\u00f3n explicativa en sociolog\u00eda"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Tesis doctoral de <strong> Francisca Blanco Moreno <\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Las series de accidentes de tr\u00e1fico son una fuente de datos longitudinales que se pueden considerar como el resultado del planteamiento de un dise\u00f1o cuasi-experimental de series temporales interrumpidas post hoc, donde la unidad de recogida de informaci\u00f3n es la poblaci\u00f3n total, las variables dependientes son varias (n\u00famero total de accidentes, n\u00famero total de accidentes mortales, n\u00famero total de v\u00edctimas, etc.) Y las intervenciones tambi\u00e9n: campa\u00f1as de publicidad, nuevas regulaciones que se han ido aprobando y aplicando a lo largo de los a\u00f1os (regulaci\u00f3n sobre el nivel de alcohol en sangre permitiendo, regulaci\u00f3n del uso del cintur\u00f3n, etc.). La universalidad de la aplicaci\u00f3n imposibilita el establecimiento de grupos de control, que ser\u00eda la mejor soluci\u00f3n para muchos de los problemas de validez de este tipo de dise\u00f1os. Ahora bien, para algunas de las variables dependientes se dispone de otra variable dependiente a la cual la intervenci\u00f3n\/regulaci\u00f3n no se aplica. Esta serie \/ variable dependiente la he utilizado para controlar otras posibles interpretaciones al impacto.  aplicando los modelos arima y de funci\u00f3n de transferencia, se ha analizado si la legislaci\u00f3n del alcoh\u00f3metro y del cintur\u00f3n de seguridad tuvo alg\u00fan impacto en las diferentes series, intentando controlar y\/o eliminar las posibles explicaciones alternativas en los casos en los que hubo impacto estad\u00edsticamente significativo.  de este modo se ha cumplido el objetivo de avanzar en la relaci\u00f3n entre validez interna, dise\u00f1os de investigaci\u00f3n y an\u00e1lisis estad\u00edstico, continuando una tradici\u00f3n metodol\u00f3gica interdisciplinar que comenz\u00f3 con el estudio seminal de campbell y stanley y contin\u00faa con cook, reichardt, kish, rossi &#8230;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3>Datos acad\u00e9micos de la tesis doctoral \u00ab<strong>El an\u00e1lisis de series temporales en la investigaci\u00f3n explicativa en sociolog\u00eda<\/strong>\u00ab<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>T\u00edtulo de la tesis:<\/strong>\u00a0 El an\u00e1lisis de series temporales en la investigaci\u00f3n explicativa en sociolog\u00eda <\/li>\n<li><strong>Autor:<\/strong>\u00a0 Francisca Blanco Moreno <\/li>\n<li><strong>Universidad:<\/strong>\u00a0 Complutense de Madrid<\/li>\n<li><strong>Fecha de lectura de la tesis:<\/strong>\u00a0 16\/09\/2003<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3>Direcci\u00f3n y tribunal<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Director de la tesis<\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li>Francisco Alvira Mart\u00edn<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li><strong>Tribunal<\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li>Presidente del tribunal: Juan G\u00f3mez casta\u00f1eda <\/li>\n<li>benjam\u00edn Gonz\u00e1lez rodr\u00edguez (vocal)<\/li>\n<li>Rafael modesto Escobar mercado (vocal)<\/li>\n<li>angel Gordo l\u00f3pez (vocal)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Tesis doctoral de Francisca Blanco Moreno Las series de accidentes de tr\u00e1fico son una fuente de datos longitudinales que se [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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