{"id":33580,"date":"2018-03-09T09:30:46","date_gmt":"2018-03-09T09:30:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/sin-categoria\/estudio-y-prediccion-de-temperaturas-mediante-analisis-de-series-temporales-en-la-comunidad-de-madrid\/"},"modified":"2018-03-09T09:30:46","modified_gmt":"2018-03-09T09:30:46","slug":"estudio-y-prediccion-de-temperaturas-mediante-analisis-de-series-temporales-en-la-comunidad-de-madrid","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/ciencias-de-la-tierra-y-del-espacio\/estudio-y-prediccion-de-temperaturas-mediante-analisis-de-series-temporales-en-la-comunidad-de-madrid\/","title":{"rendered":"Estudio y prediccion de temperaturas mediante analisis de series temporales en la comunidad de Madrid."},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Tesis doctoral de <strong> M. Teresa Castellanos Moncho <\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Se analizan series temporales de temperaturas medias y extremas mensuales (max y m\u00edn.) De 26 estaciones meteorol\u00f3gicas de la comunidad de Madrid. Usando la metodolog\u00eda de box-jenkins se obtienen modelos ima (1,1) para la parte estacional y ar(1) \u00f3 ima(1,1) para la no estacional (excepto en 3 estaciones). La predicci\u00f3n obtenida es buena para intervalos de confianza entre el 90 y el 80%. Las temperaturas m\u00ednimas son m\u00e1s predecibles que las m\u00e1ximas y las absolutas mas que las medias.  mediante caracter\u00edsticas geogr\u00e1ficas y clasificaci\u00f3n num\u00e9rica se estudia la distribuci\u00f3n espacial de los modelos, resultando dos zonas longitudinales: la noroeste con predominio de ima (1,1) y la sureste con predominio de ar(1).  finalmente se analiza una serie de temperaturas cada 10 minutos, comprob\u00e1ndose que la metodolog\u00eda box-jenkins no es aplicable en series de temperatura media diaria, si en horarias y mensuales.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3>Datos acad\u00e9micos de la tesis doctoral \u00ab<strong>Estudio y prediccion de temperaturas mediante analisis de series temporales en la comunidad de Madrid.<\/strong>\u00ab<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>T\u00edtulo de la tesis:<\/strong>\u00a0 Estudio y prediccion de temperaturas mediante analisis de series temporales en la comunidad de Madrid. <\/li>\n<li><strong>Autor:<\/strong>\u00a0 M. Teresa Castellanos Moncho <\/li>\n<li><strong>Universidad:<\/strong>\u00a0 Polit\u00e9cnica de Madrid<\/li>\n<li><strong>Fecha de lectura de la tesis:<\/strong>\u00a0 18\/12\/1997<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3>Direcci\u00f3n y tribunal<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Director de la tesis<\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li>Ana Tarkis Alfonso<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li><strong>Tribunal<\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li>Presidente del tribunal: Jos\u00e9 Manuel Ant\u00f3n corrales <\/li>\n<li>felipe Fernandez garcia (vocal)<\/li>\n<li>Mar\u00eda  concepcion Gonzalez garcia (vocal)<\/li>\n<li>\u00e1ngel Fern\u00e1ndez cancio (vocal)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Tesis doctoral de M. Teresa Castellanos Moncho Se analizan series temporales de temperaturas medias y extremas mensuales (max y m\u00edn.) [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[27,4327,1477,126,16008],"tags":[91482,14735,29598,16463,91481,58222],"class_list":["post-33580","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ciencias-de-la-tierra-y-del-espacio","category-climatologia-regional","category-estadistica","category-matematicas","category-politecnica-de-madrid","tag-ana-tarkis-alfonso","tag-angel-fernandez-cancio","tag-felipe-fernandez-garcia","tag-jose-manuel-anton-corrales","tag-m-teresa-castellanos-moncho","tag-maria-concepcion-gonzalez-garcia"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33580","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=33580"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33580\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=33580"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=33580"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=33580"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}