{"id":36101,"date":"1998-01-01T00:00:00","date_gmt":"1998-01-01T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/sin-categoria\/adaptacion-del-modelo-x11arima-a-las-series-economicas-del-pais-vasco\/"},"modified":"1998-01-01T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"1998-01-01T00:00:00","slug":"adaptacion-del-modelo-x11arima-a-las-series-economicas-del-pais-vasco","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/ciencias-economicas\/adaptacion-del-modelo-x11arima-a-las-series-economicas-del-pais-vasco\/","title":{"rendered":"Adaptacion del modelo x11arima a las series economicas del pais vasco."},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Tesis doctoral de <strong> Emilio Torres Manzanera <\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Actualmente se dispone de una gran cantidad de indicadores econ\u00f3micos elaborados por centros p\u00fablicos (banco de espa\u00f1a, direcci\u00f3n de econom\u00eda y planificaci\u00f3n, institutos de estad\u00edstica) o privados (grandes bancos nacionales, cajas de ahorro, empresas o asociaciones de empresarios) que permiten analizar la realidad econ\u00f3mica del pa\u00eds vasco con gran profundidad y rigor.  sin embargo, a la hora de estudiar y dise\u00f1ar pol\u00edticas econ\u00f3micas bas\u00e1ndose en las predicciones de los indicadores econ\u00f3micos, se observa que estos datos brutos contienen oscilaciones o perturbaciones de escaso inter\u00e9s econ\u00f3mico que pueden llevar a conclusiones incorrectas.  es decir, si deseamos realizar an\u00e1lisis de coyuntura econ\u00f3mica, previamente se han de extraer aquellas componentes o se\u00f1ales que contengan la esencia econ\u00f3mica del indicador analizado y que nos permitan determinar el momento de ciclo econ\u00f3mico en el que la econom\u00eda se encuentra, dejando a un lado los fen\u00f3menos irrelevantes o sistem\u00e1ticos.  las principales se\u00f1ales que recogen la evoluci\u00f3n global del indicador econ\u00f3mico son la tendencia y la serie desestacionalizada. Estas se\u00f1ales muestran la evoluci\u00f3n subyacente del suceso econ\u00f3mico, ya que resaltan los factores esenciales que generan dicho fen\u00f3meno. Las oscilaciones que alteran este comportamiento de la evoluci\u00f3n del indicador pueden considerarse b\u00e1sicamente como unas perturbaciones puramente aleatorias y de media cero, componente irregular, o bien como oscilaciones de periodicidad anual de media cero, componente estacional.  estas componentes son a priori desconocidas y se han de aproximar a partir de la serie original, por lo que se plantea el problema de c\u00f3mo extraer dichas se\u00f1ales a partir de los datos originales. El m\u00e9todo de extracci\u00f3n de se\u00f1ales m\u00e1s extendido es el m\u00e9todo x11arima, desarrollado por dagum (1980, 1988) de statistics canada.  sin embargo, y a pesar de su amplia implantaci\u00f3n y uti<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3>Datos acad\u00e9micos de la tesis doctoral \u00ab<strong>Adaptacion del modelo x11arima a las series economicas del pais vasco.<\/strong>\u00ab<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>T\u00edtulo de la tesis:<\/strong>\u00a0 Adaptacion del modelo x11arima a las series economicas del pais vasco. <\/li>\n<li><strong>Autor:<\/strong>\u00a0 Emilio Torres Manzanera <\/li>\n<li><strong>Universidad:<\/strong>\u00a0 Pa\u00eds vasco\/euskal herriko unibertsitatea<\/li>\n<li><strong>Fecha de lectura de la tesis:<\/strong>\u00a0 01\/01\/1998<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3>Direcci\u00f3n y tribunal<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Director de la tesis<\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li> Garcia Del Valle Irala Teresa Isabel<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li><strong>Tribunal<\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li>Presidente del tribunal: Roberto Escuder Valles <\/li>\n<li>Victoria Isabel Jimenez Gonzalez (vocal)<\/li>\n<li> Mendizabal Gorostiaga M. Aranzazu (vocal)<\/li>\n<li> Montiel Torres Ana M. (vocal)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Tesis doctoral de Emilio Torres Manzanera Actualmente se dispone de una gran cantidad de indicadores econ\u00f3micos elaborados por centros p\u00fablicos [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[82,974,1477,126,12909,11527,8771],"tags":[95816,95817,95818,95819,1072,10257],"class_list":["post-36101","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ciencias-economicas","category-econometria","category-estadistica","category-matematicas","category-pais-vasco-euskal-herriko-unibertsitatea","category-series-temporales","category-series-temporales-economicas","tag-emilio-torres-manzanera","tag-garcia-del-valle-irala-teresa-isabel","tag-mendizabal-gorostiaga-m-aranzazu","tag-montiel-torres-ana-m","tag-roberto-escuder-valles","tag-victoria-isabel-jimenez-gonzalez"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36101","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=36101"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36101\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=36101"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=36101"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=36101"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}