{"id":38173,"date":"2018-03-09T09:37:38","date_gmt":"2018-03-09T09:37:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/sin-categoria\/modelos-de-series-temporales-con-rupturas-tendenciales-y-estructuras-ciclicas-asimetricas-y-bruscas\/"},"modified":"2018-03-09T09:37:38","modified_gmt":"2018-03-09T09:37:38","slug":"modelos-de-series-temporales-con-rupturas-tendenciales-y-estructuras-ciclicas-asimetricas-y-bruscas","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/matematicas\/modelos-de-series-temporales-con-rupturas-tendenciales-y-estructuras-ciclicas-asimetricas-y-bruscas\/","title":{"rendered":"Modelos de series temporales con rupturas tendenciales y estructuras ciclicas asimetricas y bruscas"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Tesis doctoral de <strong> Eva Senra Diaz <\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Se estudia el problema de la evoluci\u00f3n tendencial de las series economicas. el trabajo esta organizado en tres capitulos, siendo el capitulo de union entre ellos la descripcion del comportamiento sintematico a crecer con posibles cambios esporadicos de pendiente, asi como comportamientos ciclicos asimetricos y bruscos de las series economicas.  se analizan las principales referencias bibliograficas relacionadas con el analisis o la modelizaci\u00f3n de la tendencia y de los comportamientos ciclicos mencionados que muestran las series economicas, analizando las diferencias y similitudes entre los diferentes esquemas propuestos para tal fin en la literatura y obtener conclusiones sobre el tipo de estructuras que pueden ser m\u00e1s relevantes.  se propone un nuevo tipo de modelo denominado de \u00abraices unitarias cambiantes\u00bbque se engloba dentro de los modelos vistos anteriormente, presentandose como una alternativa aceptable.  se extiende a un contexto econometrico el hecho de que cambios espor\u00e1dicos de tendencia y las asimetrias ciclicas y bruscas pueden afectar tambien a las relaciones a largo plazo entre variables economicas. Este hecho se ilustra con un modelo econometrico no lineal para la inversi\u00f3n espa\u00f1ola en funci\u00f3n del pib y otras variables relevantes.  el autor aporta una serie de conclusiones extraidas de los analisis que realiza. Concluye que la elasticidad a largo plazo entre las variables no es un parametro constante.  se incluye lista de referencias bibliograficas.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3>Datos acad\u00e9micos de la tesis doctoral \u00ab<strong>Modelos de series temporales con rupturas tendenciales y estructuras ciclicas asimetricas y bruscas<\/strong>\u00ab<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>T\u00edtulo de la tesis:<\/strong>\u00a0 Modelos de series temporales con rupturas tendenciales y estructuras ciclicas asimetricas y bruscas <\/li>\n<li><strong>Autor:<\/strong>\u00a0 Eva Senra Diaz <\/li>\n<li><strong>Universidad:<\/strong>\u00a0 Carlos III de Madrid<\/li>\n<li><strong>Fecha de lectura de la tesis:<\/strong>\u00a0 25\/05\/1998<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3>Direcci\u00f3n y tribunal<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Director de la tesis<\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li>Antoni Espasa Terrades<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li><strong>Tribunal<\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li>Presidente del tribunal: daniel Pe\u00f1a s\u00e1nchez de rivera <\/li>\n<li>agustin Maravall herrero (vocal)<\/li>\n<li>Juan  ignacio Pe\u00f1a s\u00e1nchez de rivera (vocal)<\/li>\n<li> Cancelo de la torre j. ramon (vocal)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Tesis doctoral de Eva Senra Diaz Se estudia el problema de la evoluci\u00f3n tendencial de las series economicas. el trabajo [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[18550,1477,126,1476],"tags":[68302,18567,99387,14614,99386,37278],"class_list":["post-38173","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-carlos-iii-de-madrid","category-estadistica","category-matematicas","category-teoria-estocastica-y-analisis-de-series-temporales","tag-agustin-maravall-herrero","tag-antoni-espasa-terrades","tag-cancelo-de-la-torre-j-ramon","tag-daniel-pena-sanchez-de-rivera","tag-eva-senra-diaz","tag-juan-ignacio-pena-sanchez-de-rivera"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38173","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=38173"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38173\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=38173"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=38173"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=38173"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}