{"id":56727,"date":"2018-03-09T22:44:33","date_gmt":"2018-03-09T22:44:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/sin-categoria\/factores-estaticos-explicativos-del-exito-o-fracaso-de-los-permisos-de-salida-penitenciarios-de-2ao-grado-creacion-de-un-modelo-predictivo-multivariable\/"},"modified":"2018-03-09T22:44:33","modified_gmt":"2018-03-09T22:44:33","slug":"factores-estaticos-explicativos-del-exito-o-fracaso-de-los-permisos-de-salida-penitenciarios-de-2ao-grado-creacion-de-un-modelo-predictivo-multivariable","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/barcelona\/factores-estaticos-explicativos-del-exito-o-fracaso-de-los-permisos-de-salida-penitenciarios-de-2ao-grado-creacion-de-un-modelo-predictivo-multivariable\/","title":{"rendered":"Factores est\u00e1ticos explicativos del \u00e9xito o fracaso de los permisos de salida penitenciarios de 2\u00c2\u00ba grado: creaci\u00f3n de un modelo predictivo multivariable"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Tesis doctoral de <strong> Mar\u00eda  Eulalia Luque Reina <\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Los permisos penitenciarios de salida es uno de los pocos instrumentos que permiten acercar al preso a su familia y al entorno al que regresar\u00e1 cuando salga en libertad. Estos permisos despiertan alarma social puesto que ha habido casos, aunque singulares, de graves delitos cometidos durante el disfrute de permiso.     en la sociedad del riesgo en la que vivimos, y en un momento en que la poblaci\u00f3n penitenciaria ha crecido considerablemente, se hace conveniente disponer de un instrumento que permita predecir la probabilidad que tiene un preso, cuyo permiso se est\u00e1 valorando, de quebrantarlo o regresar normalmente a la prisi\u00f3n.     mediante diversos an\u00e1lisis de regresi\u00f3n log\u00edstica se ha llevado a cabo un estudio para determinar cu\u00e1l es el modelo que m\u00e1s y mejor ajusta los datos; es decir, el que m\u00e1s y mejor explica y predice el quebrantamiento de permiso de salida. Se ha encontrado que las variables que predicen el comportamiento quebrantador son: el tipo de delito por el que cumplen condena, las visitas que reciben de sus familias, la gravedad de los expedientes disciplinarios que se les han incoado en prisi\u00f3n y la \u00e9poca del a\u00f1o en la que se concede el permiso. El porcentaje de clasificaci\u00f3n correcta del modelo se lleva al 68,1%.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3>Datos acad\u00e9micos de la tesis doctoral \u00ab<strong>Factores est\u00e1ticos explicativos del \u00e9xito o fracaso de los permisos de salida penitenciarios de 2\u00c2\u00ba grado: creaci\u00f3n de un modelo predictivo multivariable<\/strong>\u00ab<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>T\u00edtulo de la tesis:<\/strong>\u00a0 Factores est\u00e1ticos explicativos del \u00e9xito o fracaso de los permisos de salida penitenciarios de 2\u00c2\u00ba grado: creaci\u00f3n de un modelo predictivo multivariable <\/li>\n<li><strong>Autor:<\/strong>\u00a0 Mar\u00eda  Eulalia Luque Reina <\/li>\n<li><strong>Universidad:<\/strong>\u00a0 Barcelona<\/li>\n<li><strong>Fecha de lectura de la tesis:<\/strong>\u00a0 24\/01\/2007<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3>Direcci\u00f3n y tribunal<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Director de la tesis<\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li> Losada L\u00f3pez Jos\u00e9 Luis<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li><strong>Tribunal<\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li>Presidente del tribunal: Jaime Arnau gras <\/li>\n<li>Antonio Andres pueyo (vocal)<\/li>\n<li>salvador Chacon moscoso (vocal)<\/li>\n<li>ramon Garcia albero (vocal)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Tesis doctoral de Mar\u00eda Eulalia Luque Reina Los permisos penitenciarios de salida es uno de los pocos instrumentos que permiten [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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