{"id":56920,"date":"2007-06-02T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2007-06-02T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/sin-categoria\/crecimiento-regional-y-efecto-competitivo-modelizacion-econometrica-y-prediccion\/"},"modified":"2007-06-02T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2007-06-02T00:00:00","slug":"crecimiento-regional-y-efecto-competitivo-modelizacion-econometrica-y-prediccion","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/modelos-econometricos\/crecimiento-regional-y-efecto-competitivo-modelizacion-econometrica-y-prediccion\/","title":{"rendered":"Crecimiento regional y efecto competitivo modelizaci\u00f3n econometrica y predicci\u00f3n"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Tesis doctoral de <strong> Matias Mayor Fern\u00e1ndez <\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>El objetivo fundamental es analizar las disparidades existentes en los ritmos de crecimiento regional, identificando sus componentes y factores explicativos y tratando de pronosticar su comportamiento. Este estudio puede ser abordado mediante diferentes t\u00e9cnicas entre las cuales se encuentra el an\u00e1lisis shift-share que permite identificar tres efectos: nacional, sectorial y competitivo. El efecto competitivo recoge el espacial dinamismo que presenta un sector en una regi\u00f3n determinada en comparaci\u00f3n con la evoluci\u00f3n nacional de ese sector, de ah\u00ed la importancia de medir adecuadamente este componente y tratar de anticipar su evoluci\u00f3n. sin embargo, el an\u00e1lisis shift-share presenta limitaciones como son la ausencia de tratamiento inferencial y la no inclusi\u00f3n expl\u00edcita de la dependencia espacial. con el fin de dotar de an\u00e1lisis inferencial a esta t\u00e9cnica se plante el an\u00e1lisis shift-share estoc\u00e1stico y los diferentes procedimientos que permiten la estimaci\u00f3n de los efectos sectoriales y regionales y su contraste. las nuevas teor\u00edas de crecimiento econ\u00f3mico otorgan un papel creciente al espacio, por lo que se proponen nuevos modelos shift-share espaciales, unos basados en la matriz de pesos espaciales y otros en el procedimiento previo de filtrado espacial de las variables. Estos nuevos modelos permiten la cuantificaron expl\u00edcita de la dependencia espacial en t\u00e9rminos de la variable econ\u00f3mica analizada as\u00ed como la obtenci\u00f3n de un efecto competitivo libre de la influencia espacial. tambi\u00e9n se proponen diferentes alternativas para la elaboraci\u00f3n de predicciones regionales a partir del efecto competitivo como rasgo diferenciador de cada una de las regiones. Se analizan diversas alternativas desde modelos ingenuos hasta modelos espacio-temporales (starimag y svar) as\u00ed como escenarios de perdici\u00f3n basados en el an\u00e1lisis shift-share din\u00e1mico. por \u00faltimo, se recogen diversas aplicaciones emp\u00edricas de las t\u00e9cnicas  desarrolladas en la memori<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3>Datos acad\u00e9micos de la tesis doctoral \u00ab<strong>Crecimiento regional y efecto competitivo modelizaci\u00f3n econometrica y predicci\u00f3n<\/strong>\u00ab<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>T\u00edtulo de la tesis:<\/strong>\u00a0 Crecimiento regional y efecto competitivo modelizaci\u00f3n econometrica y predicci\u00f3n <\/li>\n<li><strong>Autor:<\/strong>\u00a0 Matias Mayor Fern\u00e1ndez <\/li>\n<li><strong>Universidad:<\/strong>\u00a0 Oviedo<\/li>\n<li><strong>Fecha de lectura de la tesis:<\/strong>\u00a0 06\/02\/2007<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3>Direcci\u00f3n y tribunal<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Director de la tesis<\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li>Rigoberto P\u00e9rez Su\u00e1rez<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li><strong>Tribunal<\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li>Presidente del tribunal: Antonio Pulido San Rom\u00e1n <\/li>\n<li>Jordi Suri\u00f1ach Caralt (vocal)<\/li>\n<li>Francisco Javier Trivez Bielsa (vocal)<\/li>\n<li>Fernando Lopez Hernandez (vocal)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Tesis doctoral de Matias Mayor Fern\u00e1ndez El objetivo fundamental es analizar las disparidades existentes en los ritmos de crecimiento regional, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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