{"id":70390,"date":"2018-03-09T23:14:55","date_gmt":"2018-03-09T23:14:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/sin-categoria\/integracion-de-la-prediccion-foronomica-en-una-red-hidrometeorologica-en-tiempo-real\/"},"modified":"2018-03-09T23:14:55","modified_gmt":"2018-03-09T23:14:55","slug":"integracion-de-la-prediccion-foronomica-en-una-red-hidrometeorologica-en-tiempo-real","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/politecnica-de-madrid\/integracion-de-la-prediccion-foronomica-en-una-red-hidrometeorologica-en-tiempo-real\/","title":{"rendered":"Integraci\u00f3n de la predicci\u00f3n foron\u00f3mica en una red hidrometeorol\u00f3gica en tiempo real"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Tesis doctoral de <strong> Jes\u00fas L\u00f3pez Garc\u00eda <\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>El objetivo de la tesis es demostrar el valor potencial de la informaci\u00f3n hidrol\u00f3gica para desarrollar modelos simples y precisos de predicci\u00f3n de caudales diarios basados en datos en tiempo real que se reciben a trav\u00e9s de una red hidrometeorol\u00f3gica.  se demuestra que los modelos basados en datos, y en especial los que se desarrollan en torno a la correlaci\u00f3n m\u00faltiple, resultan muy apropiados para los frecuentes casos en que la informaci\u00f3n disponible es escasa en n\u00famero de puntos de control pero las series hist\u00f3ricas son largas.  la tesis desarrolla modelos basados exclusivamente en el caudal, precipitaci\u00f3n y temperatura y valora su aplicaci\u00f3n a un caso real (los embalses del sistema de abastecimiento a Madrid) utilizando los resultados de la predicci\u00f3n meteorol\u00f3gica como datos de entrada. Los resultados obtenidos se pueden calificar de precisos.  entre otras aportaciones originales de la tesis, se exploran las posibilidades de mejorar la representaci\u00f3n de los procesos de fusi\u00f3n y acumulaci\u00f3n de nieve sin introducir nuevas variables al c\u00e1lculo as\u00ed como la forma \u00f3ptima de dividir el a\u00f1o en per\u00edodos estacionales para optimizar el ajuste de los resultados. Tambi\u00e9n se analiza el efecto de la memoria del sistema hidrol\u00f3gico en la simulaci\u00f3n.  el modelo consigue predecir con precisi\u00f3n suficiente la serie de caudales observados, con las limitaciones propias de la metodolog\u00eda empleada. Estas limitaciones impiden obtener buenos ajustes para las puntas de caudal del hidrograma. Las discrepancias observadas se pueden atribuir parcialmente a errores en la predicci\u00f3n meteorol\u00f3gica y a la escasez de puntos de observaci\u00f3n.  finalmente, el modelo se integra en un sistema de ayuda a la decisi\u00f3n que simplifi-ca las operaciones de predicci\u00f3n y facilita su utilizaci\u00f3n a personas sin entrenamiento previo.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3>Datos acad\u00e9micos de la tesis doctoral \u00ab<strong>Integraci\u00f3n de la predicci\u00f3n foron\u00f3mica en una red hidrometeorol\u00f3gica en tiempo real<\/strong>\u00ab<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>T\u00edtulo de la tesis:<\/strong>\u00a0 Integraci\u00f3n de la predicci\u00f3n foron\u00f3mica en una red hidrometeorol\u00f3gica en tiempo real <\/li>\n<li><strong>Autor:<\/strong>\u00a0 Jes\u00fas L\u00f3pez Garc\u00eda <\/li>\n<li><strong>Universidad:<\/strong>\u00a0 Polit\u00e9cnica de Madrid<\/li>\n<li><strong>Fecha de lectura de la tesis:<\/strong>\u00a0 27\/09\/2004<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3>Direcci\u00f3n y tribunal<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Director de la tesis<\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li>Antonio Osuna Mart\u00ednez<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li><strong>Tribunal<\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li>Presidente del tribunal: Luis Garrote de marcos <\/li>\n<li> Castillo eltsidi\u00e9 Luis gerardo (vocal)<\/li>\n<li>f\u00e9lix Franc\u00e9s Garc\u00eda (vocal)<\/li>\n<li>sandra gabriela Garcia galiano (vocal)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Tesis doctoral de Jes\u00fas L\u00f3pez Garc\u00eda El objetivo de la tesis es demostrar el valor potencial de la informaci\u00f3n hidrol\u00f3gica [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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