{"id":71022,"date":"2018-03-09T23:15:32","date_gmt":"2018-03-09T23:15:32","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2018-03-09T23:15:32","modified_gmt":"2018-03-09T23:15:32","slug":"statistical-and-dynamical-downscaling-models-applied-to-winter-precipitation-on-the-cantabrian-coast-modelos-estadisticos-y-dinamicos-de-regionalizacion-aplicados-a-la-precipitacion-invernal-en-la-co","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/ciencias-de-la-tierra-y-del-espacio\/statistical-and-dynamical-downscaling-models-applied-to-winter-precipitation-on-the-cantabrian-coast-modelos-estadisticos-y-dinamicos-de-regionalizacion-aplicados-a-la-precipitacion-invernal-en-la-co\/","title":{"rendered":"Statistical and dynamical downscaling models applied to winter precipitation on the cantabrian coast (modelos estadisticos y dinamicos de regionalizacion aplicados a la precipitacion invernal en la cornisa cantabrica)"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Tesis doctoral de <strong> Jes\u00fas Fernandez Fernandez <\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Se han adaptado a la cornisa cant\u00e1brica diversas t\u00e9cnicas de proyecci\u00f3n regional de la informaci\u00f3n clim\u00e1tica de gran escala (downscaling) para su aplicaci\u00f3n en la predicci\u00f3n clim\u00e1tica de la precipitaci\u00f3n. El objetivo fundamental es la comparaci\u00f3n de los resultados obtenidos mediante costosas t\u00e9cnicas de modelizaci\u00f3n din\u00e1mica regional y mediante t\u00e9cnicas estad\u00edsticas sencillas.  se ha utilizado como ejemplo de metodolog\u00eda estad\u00edstica habitual un modelo estad\u00edstico lineal basado en an\u00e1lisis de correlaci\u00f3n can\u00f3nica (cca). Se ha comprobado la habilidad de un modelo no lineal basado en la b\u00fasqueda de an\u00e1logos de los campos atmosf\u00e9ricos a gran escala. Se propone tambi\u00e9n una modificaci\u00f3n metodol\u00f3gica a este \u00faltimo m\u00e9todo que resulta en una mejora de la capacidad predictiva, mediante el empleo de un espacio alternativo de b\u00fasqueda.  para la regionalizaci\u00f3n din\u00e1mica se ha adaptado el modelo de mesoescala mm5 para su uso en escalas temporales clim\u00e1ticas. Una vez modificado, se ha realizado un estudio de sensibilidad de los resultados del modelo al uso de diferentes para metrizaciones para los c\u00famulos, la capa de mezcla planetaria y la radiaci\u00f3n. Des estudio de sensibilidad se deduce que no hay un conjunto de parametrizaciones \u00f3ptimo en el sentido de dar lugar a mejores resultados en todas las zonas, \u00e9pocas del a\u00f1o, escalas temporales e \u00edndices de pericia considerados.  se ha elegido el conjunto de parametrizaciones que mejor representa la precipitaci\u00f3n invernal para realizar una integraci\u00f3n del modelo para el per\u00edodo 1960 a 1989, para el cual se dispone de las estimaciones estad\u00edsticas realizadas en la primera parte de la tesis.  la estimaci\u00f3n din\u00e1mica resulta la m\u00e1s efectiva en t\u00e9rminos de correlaci\u00f3n con la precipitaci\u00f3n observada. El m\u00e9todo de an\u00e1logos, sin embargo, da lugar a series de precipitaci\u00f3n con una varianza m\u00e1s parecida a la observada que el resto de m\u00e9todos propuestos. En la pr<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3>Datos acad\u00e9micos de la tesis doctoral \u00ab<strong>Statistical and dynamical downscaling models applied to winter precipitation on the cantabrian coast (modelos estadisticos y dinamicos de regionalizacion aplicados a la precipitacion invernal en la cornisa cantabrica)<\/strong>\u00ab<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>T\u00edtulo de la tesis:<\/strong>\u00a0 Statistical and dynamical downscaling models applied to winter precipitation on the cantabrian coast (modelos estadisticos y dinamicos de regionalizacion aplicados a la precipitacion invernal en la cornisa cantabrica) <\/li>\n<li><strong>Autor:<\/strong>\u00a0 Jes\u00fas Fernandez Fernandez <\/li>\n<li><strong>Universidad:<\/strong>\u00a0 Pa\u00eds vasco\/euskal herriko unibertsitatea<\/li>\n<li><strong>Fecha de lectura de la tesis:<\/strong>\u00a0 29\/10\/2004<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3>Direcci\u00f3n y tribunal<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Director de la tesis<\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li>Jon Saenz Aguirre<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li><strong>Tribunal<\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li>Presidente del tribunal: sergio Alonso orozca <\/li>\n<li> Doblas reyes fco. Javier (vocal)<\/li>\n<li>Elena Xoplaki (vocal)<\/li>\n<li> Gutierrez llorente Jos\u00e9 Manuel (vocal)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Tesis doctoral de Jes\u00fas Fernandez Fernandez Se han adaptado a la cornisa cant\u00e1brica diversas t\u00e9cnicas de proyecci\u00f3n regional de la [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[27,4329,4327,1666,429,12909,12363,33029],"tags":[154889,154890,26328,154887,80537,154888],"class_list":["post-71022","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ciencias-de-la-tierra-y-del-espacio","category-climatologia","category-climatologia-regional","category-hidrologia","category-meteorologia","category-pais-vasco-euskal-herriko-unibertsitatea","category-precipitacion","category-prediccion-numerica-meteorologica","tag-doblas-reyes-fco-javier","tag-elena-xoplaki","tag-gutierrez-llorente-jose-manuel","tag-jesus-fernandez-fernandez","tag-jon-saenz-aguirre","tag-sergio-alonso-orozca"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/71022","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=71022"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/71022\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=71022"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=71022"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=71022"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}