{"id":72137,"date":"2018-03-09T23:16:54","date_gmt":"2018-03-09T23:16:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/sin-categoria\/modelizacion-de-la-inflacion-a-nivel-europeo-con-fines-de-prediccion-y-diagnostico-a-corto-plazo\/"},"modified":"2018-03-09T23:16:54","modified_gmt":"2018-03-09T23:16:54","slug":"modelizacion-de-la-inflacion-a-nivel-europeo-con-fines-de-prediccion-y-diagnostico-a-corto-plazo","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/ciencias-economicas\/modelizacion-de-la-inflacion-a-nivel-europeo-con-fines-de-prediccion-y-diagnostico-a-corto-plazo\/","title":{"rendered":"Modelizacion de la inflacion a nivel europeo con fines de prediccion y diagnostico a corto plazo"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Tesis doctoral de <strong> Mateos Rebeca Albacete Sanchez <\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Los agentes econ\u00f3micos requieren actualizaciones de una senda de predicciones de inflaci\u00f3n, probabilidades de ocurrencia de diferentes intervalos de valores en cada punto de la senda y una explicaci\u00f3n de los factores determinantes de las predicciones. Esta tesis estudia c\u00f3mo abordar este reto y acaba desarrollando una metodolog\u00eda para el an\u00e1lisis de la inflaci\u00f3n en la ume, medida a trav\u00e9s del \u00edndice de precios al consumo armonizado, con el objetivo de predecir con la mayor fiabilidad y obtener una explicaci\u00f3n de los factores determinantes.  el desarrollo de la metodolog\u00eda consiste en detectar en qu\u00e9 direcci\u00f3n conviene ampliar la informaci\u00f3n relevante para la predicci\u00f3n, para lo cual el fundamento te\u00f3rico es determinante. Las propiedades del conjunto informativo contemplado impondr\u00e1 la complejidad del tratamiento econom\u00e9trico requerido. La evaluaci\u00f3n del comportamiento predictivo de los modelos econom\u00e9tricos alternativos dentro de los distintos niveles informativos es esencial.  se demuestra que, si se combinan las predicciones derivadas de un  modelo mensual desagregado vectorial diagonal por bloques con las procedentes de un  modelo agregado trimestral congruente vectorial se obtiene el mejor ajuste para la predicci\u00f3n. Habr\u00e1 que ajustar las contribuciones de las variables econ\u00f3micas a la inflaci\u00f3n para dar una explicaci\u00f3n de los factores que determinan las predicciones finales y las predicciones de los diferentes sub\u00edndices de precios por pa\u00edses y sectores para ofrecer un mapa desglosado sectorial y geogr\u00e1ficamente de los valores futuros estimados para la inflaci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3>Datos acad\u00e9micos de la tesis doctoral \u00ab<strong>Modelizacion de la inflacion a nivel europeo con fines de prediccion y diagnostico a corto plazo<\/strong>\u00ab<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>T\u00edtulo de la tesis:<\/strong>\u00a0 Modelizacion de la inflacion a nivel europeo con fines de prediccion y diagnostico a corto plazo <\/li>\n<li><strong>Autor:<\/strong>\u00a0 Mateos Rebeca Albacete Sanchez <\/li>\n<li><strong>Universidad:<\/strong>\u00a0 Carlos III de Madrid<\/li>\n<li><strong>Fecha de lectura de la tesis:<\/strong>\u00a0 20\/12\/2004<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3>Direcci\u00f3n y tribunal<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Director de la tesis<\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li>Antoni Espasa Terrades<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li><strong>Tribunal<\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li>Presidente del tribunal: daniel Pe\u00f1a s\u00e1nchez de rivera <\/li>\n<li>Jos\u00e9 ram\u00f3n Cancelo de la torre (vocal)<\/li>\n<li>Jos\u00e9 Luis Raymond bara (vocal)<\/li>\n<li>Javierangel Andres domingo (vocal)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Tesis doctoral de Mateos Rebeca Albacete Sanchez Los agentes econ\u00f3micos requieren actualizaciones de una senda de predicciones de inflaci\u00f3n, probabilidades [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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