{"id":89672,"date":"2001-04-04T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2001-04-04T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/sin-categoria\/megatendencias-para-el-siglo-21-un-estudio-delphi\/"},"modified":"2001-04-04T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2001-04-04T00:00:00","slug":"megatendencias-para-el-siglo-21-un-estudio-delphi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.deberes.net\/tesis\/sociologia\/megatendencias-para-el-siglo-21-un-estudio-delphi\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00abmegatendencias para el siglo 21; un estudio delphi\u00bb"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Tesis doctoral de <strong> Enric Bas Amoros <\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Estudio sociologico de car\u00e1cter exploratorio, realizado desde el enfoque de la prospectiva, con el objeto de determinar megatendencias o \u00abperfiles generales\u00bb de futuro, y empleando el medodo delphi basado en internet.  los 23 expertos participantes son renombrados futuristas provinientes del mundo de los negocios, la academia en las instituciones. Elite ellos estan: emilio fontela, william e.Malal, jerome c.Glean, eleonora masini, sohail inayatullah, harol de t. Linstone a igor bestuzhev-lada.  a partir de sus opiniones analizada empleando las rutinas propias del metodo delphi, se elaboran 5 escenarios de futuro donde se distingue entre tendendias fuertes, apreciables y      , y 1 escenario de sintesis donde se perfilan los ragos basicos de la sociedad del siglo 21.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3>Datos acad\u00e9micos de la tesis doctoral \u00ab<strong>\u00abmegatendencias para el siglo 21; un estudio delphi\u00bb<\/strong>\u00ab<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>T\u00edtulo de la tesis:<\/strong>\u00a0 \u00abmegatendencias para el siglo 21; un estudio delphi\u00bb <\/li>\n<li><strong>Autor:<\/strong>\u00a0 Enric Bas Amoros <\/li>\n<li><strong>Universidad:<\/strong>\u00a0 Alicante<\/li>\n<li><strong>Fecha de lectura de la tesis:<\/strong>\u00a0 04\/04\/2001<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3>Direcci\u00f3n y tribunal<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Director de la tesis<\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li>Jos\u00e9 Mar\u00eda Tortosa Blasco<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li><strong>Tribunal<\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li>Presidente del tribunal: Jos\u00e9 f\u00e9lix Tezanos tortajada <\/li>\n<li>Antonio Escudero guti\u00e9rrez (vocal)<\/li>\n<li>Juan  lu\u00eds Pintos de cea-naharro (vocal)<\/li>\n<li>  (vocal)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Tesis doctoral de Enric Bas Amoros Estudio sociologico de car\u00e1cter exploratorio, realizado desde el enfoque de la prospectiva, con el [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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